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January 30, 2013

Saxby Stirs the Senatorial Pot

Capitol Impact

Whether you love him or hate him, you have to admire how Sen. Saxby Chambliss threw the state’s political community into an uproar with last week’s announcement that he won’t run again in 2014. Chambliss made all the necessary remarks about how “frustration” with the dysfunctional Senate caused him to step down after 20 years in Congress. In the end, it comes down to this: He did not want his political career to finish with a defeat in a GOP primary.

Chambliss has made some enemies in the extreme fringe of the Republican base, partly because of his negotiations with Democratic senators on a “Gang of Six” to craft a compromise on the federal deficit. Chambliss was lambasted by conservatives for being a part of that group and also drew criticism for supporting legislation that could have provided a path to citizenship for immigrants.

It thus was no surprise that Chambliss, who probably spent more time on golf courses than he did on the Senate floor, was ready to go back home so he could be “sitting on a back porch drinking whiskey with some of y’all.”

Chambliss has guaranteed that 2014 should be the craziest, most wide-open election year this state has seen in a long time. It will be a time when the inmates are truly running the asylum.

Most of the nine Republicans who represent Georgia in the U.S. House can be seen as potential replacements for Chambliss. This group includes Tom Price, Phil Gingrey and Paul Broun. Jack Kingston indicated he’s giving the Senate race some consideration as well.

Tom Graves, Lynn Westmoreland, Rob Woodall and Austin Scott could also get into the mix. You should add the names of Secretary of State Brian Kemp and former secretary of state Karen Handel to that list of prospective candidates, along with talk show stalwarts Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich and Erick Erickson.

That will be a very crowded Republican primary, with the candidates making all sorts of outrageous statements to show that they’re the most conservative politician in the race. By the time they’re through, they’ll probably make Saxby Chambliss look like Leon Trotsky. They may even make Paul Broun look moderate.

As these House seats are vacated, that will put more congressional districts into play. Handel, for example, might be tempted to run for Price’s old House seat if Price does enter the Senate race.

If Broun runs for the U.S. Senate, state Sen. Bill Cowsert (R-Athens) would probably declare he’s running for Broun’s House seat. If Kingston tries to move up, former state legislator Eric Johnson could be the candidate who runs for Kingston’s House  seat.

With an open race now assured for the Senate seat, Georgia Democrats will try to field a credible candidate on their side of the ballot. Atlanta Mayor Kasim Reed, U.S. Rep. John Barrow and state Sen. Jason Carter (D-Decatur) would all be possibilities to consider in that race.

“Today’s announcement by Senator Chambliss that he has decided to retire presents a great opportunity for Georgia Democrats to reclaim one of our U.S. Senate seats,” said Mike Berlon, the Democratic Party chairman.

One of the happiest persons in the state has to be Gov. Nathan Deal. With Chambliss leaving the Senate, Deal no longer has to worry about a primary challenge from a strong candidate to his right in 2014. Any conservative with a decent amount of campaign funding is going to be running for the Senate or for one of the House seats that open up.

The political consultants and advertising directors who work in Georgia are even happier than Deal. Thanks to the many competitive races that will result from Chambliss’ retirement, they are assured of full employment during this election cycle.

 

Tom Crawford is editor of The Georgia Report, an Internet news service at gareport.com that reports on government and politics in Georgia. He can be reached at tcrawford@gareport.com.

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